Market participants expect little change in the federal funds rate target range this year
By: rootdata|2026/05/21 04:45:01
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Según informes de Jinshi, las minutas de la reunión de la Reserva Federal indican que los participantes del mercado esperan pocos cambios en el rango objetivo de la tasa de fondos federales este año. La probabilidad implícita de una subida de tipos en el primer trimestre de 2027, basada en los precios de las opciones, es de aproximadamente el 30%. Las encuestas muestran que habrá dos recortes de tipos de 25 puntos básicos el próximo año, y se espera que el momento de los recortes sea posterior al de la última encuesta, ocurriendo en el tercer o cuarto trimestre de 2026 y en el primer trimestre de 2027, respectivamente.
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