Hayes: Chinese Tariff Retaliation May Spark New Wave of Crypto Capital

By: blockbeats|2025/04/08 17:45:03
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Original Title: China's tariff response may mean more capital flight to crypto: Hayes
Original Author: Martin Young, CoinTelegraph
Original Translation: Deng Tong, Golden Finance

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said that China's response to the U.S. full trade tariffs may lead to capital flight to Bitcoin and cryptocurrency.

"If not the Fed, then the PBoC will be providing us the material for a Yahtzee," Hayes said on X on April 8, referring to the catalyst needed to reignite the cryptocurrency market bull run.

Hayes stated that if the Renminbi depreciates, "capital will flow into Bitcoin," adding that "it worked in 2013, 2015, and will work in 2025 as well."

Bybit co-founder and CEO Ben Zhou stated that China will attempt to lower the Renminbi exchange rate in response to tariffs, adding that historically, a Renminbi devaluation has been favorable for Bitcoin.

Renminbi vs. USD has weakened since 2022. Source: Google Finance

In August 2015, China devalued the Renminbi against the USD by nearly 2%, marking the largest single-day drop in decades. During this time, Bitcoin did attract some investor interest, although the direct cause-effect relationship remains debated.

When the Renminbi exchange rate broke the symbolic 7:1 mark against the USD in August 2019, Bitcoin's price also surged during the same period. Some analysts believe Chinese investors were using Bitcoin as a hedge, as the asset saw a 20% rise in the first week of that month.

In 2019, cryptocurrency asset management firm Grayscale noted the Renminbi depreciation and attributed it as one factor stimulating the Bitcoin market.

Avoiding Currency Control and Wealth Preservation

According to analysts, affluent Chinese citizens may have used cryptocurrency in the past to preserve wealth, shielding it from government control and evading domestic capital controls and restrictions.

People also believe that currency devaluation will undermine people's trust in central banks and government financial management, prompting them to turn to decentralized alternatives such as Bitcoin.

On April 7, U.S. President Trump threatened to impose additional tariffs on China, to which China responded by stating that it would "fight to the end."

The Chinese Ministry of Commerce stated in a declaration: "If the U.S. implements tariff escalation measures, China will resolutely take countermeasures to defend its own interests."

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Mixin has launched USTD-margined perpetual contracts, bringing derivative trading into the chat scene.

The privacy-focused crypto wallet Mixin announced today the launch of its U-based perpetual contract (a derivative priced in USDT). Unlike traditional exchanges, Mixin has taken a new approach by "liberating" derivative trading from isolated matching engines and embedding it into the instant messaging environment.


Users can directly open positions within the app with leverage of up to 200x, while sharing positions, discussing strategies, and copy trading within private communities. Trading, social interaction, and asset management are integrated into the same interface.


Simplified Trading Experience: No KYC Required, Opening a Position in Five Steps


Based on its non-custodial architecture, Mixin has eliminated friction from the traditional onboarding process, allowing users to participate in perpetual contract trading without identity verification.


The trading process has been streamlined into five steps:

· Choose the trading asset

· Select long or short

· Input position size and leverage

· Confirm order details

· Confirm and open the position


The interface provides real-time visualization of price, position, and profit and loss (PnL), allowing users to complete trades without switching between multiple modules.


Social-Native Trading: Strategy and Execution Completed in the Same Context


Mixin has directly integrated social features into the derivative trading environment. Users can create private trading communities and interact around real-time positions:

· End-to-end encrypted private groups supporting up to 1024 members

· End-to-end encrypted voice communication

· One-click position sharing

· One-click trade copying


On the execution side, Mixin aggregates liquidity from multiple sources and accesses decentralized protocol and external market liquidity through a unified trading interface.


By combining social interaction with trade execution, Mixin enables users to collaborate, share, and execute trading strategies instantly within the same environment.


Referral Mechanism: Non-institutional users can receive up to 60% fee split


Mixin has also introduced a referral incentive system based on trading behavior:

· Users can join with an invite code

· Up to 60% of trading fees as referral rewards

· Incentive mechanism designed for long-term, sustainable earnings


This model aims to drive user-driven network expansion and organic growth.


Self-Custody Architecture and Built-in Privacy Mechanism


Mixin's derivative transactions are built on top of its existing self-custody wallet infrastructure, with core features including:


· Separation of transaction account and asset storage

· User full control over assets

· Platform does not custody user funds

· Built-in privacy mechanisms to reduce data exposure


The system aims to strike a balance between transaction efficiency, asset security, and privacy protection.


A New Path for On-Chain Derivatives


Against the background of perpetual contracts becoming a mainstream trading tool, Mixin is exploring a different development direction by lowering barriers, enhancing social and privacy attributes.


The platform does not only view transactions as execution actions but positions them as a networked activity: transactions have social attributes, strategies can be shared, and relationships between individuals also become part of the financial system.


Regulatory Background


Mixin's design is based on a user-initiated, user-controlled model. The platform neither custodies assets nor executes transactions on behalf of users.


This model aligns with a statement issued by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on April 13, 2026, titled "Staff Statement on Whether Partial User Interface Used in Preparing Cryptocurrency Securities Transactions May Require Broker-Dealer Registration."


The statement indicates that, under the premise where transactions are entirely initiated and controlled by users, non-custodial service providers that offer neutral interfaces may not need to register as broker-dealers or exchanges.


About Mixin


Mixin is a decentralized, self-custodial privacy wallet designed to provide secure and efficient digital asset management services.


Its core capabilities include:

· Aggregation: integrating multi-chain assets and routing between different transaction paths to simplify user operations

· High liquidity access: connecting to various liquidity sources, including decentralized protocols and external markets

· Decentralization: achieving full user control over assets without relying on custodial intermediaries

· Privacy protection: safeguarding assets and data through MPC, CryptoNote, and end-to-end encrypted communication


Mixin has been in operation for over 8 years, supporting over 40 blockchains and more than 10,000 assets, with a global user base exceeding 10 million and an on-chain self-custodied asset scale of over $1 billion.


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