Factors Influencing Bitcoin Price Until the End of 2026

The price of Bitcoin in 2026 will depend on several key factors. The recovery of the cryptocurrency market began with a rise of more than 20% in August after a prolonged decline that started in October 2025. Changes in the Federal Reserve's interest rates will also have an impact, with a 60% probability of an increase in September. The geopolitical situation, including rising oil prices above $90 per barrel, creates macroeconomic uncertainty. In August, Bitcoin attempted to break through a resistance level of around $81,000, which is necessary to confirm a trend reversal. Seasonality in the markets is also important, as during midterm election years, the S&P-500 index typically shows a decline. Institutional demand for Bitcoin is recovering as a safe-haven asset after capital flowed into the artificial intelligence sector during the summer. Finally, the passage of the CLARITY Act to regulate the cryptocurrency market could be a bullish factor, reducing uncertainty for investors.

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