Kalshi and Polymarket Traders Gain Midterm Election Insights Through Field Research

As the U.S. midterm elections approach, traders on the Kalshi and Polymarket platforms are seeking trading advantages through offline visits and voter data analysis. Former Democratic National Committee economics professor Douglas Campbell has made over $800,000 in profits on the Kalshi platform under the username AlexanderHam, ranking sixth; another trader, David Bensoussan, has made over $1.5 million on the Polymarket platform under the username Scottilicious, betting on the Democrats to win the House, with market probability rising to about 94%. Some traders' field research has raised concerns about information asymmetry and insider trading, prompting Polymarket to investigate suspicious trades during the Israeli elections this week.

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