Recession Panic Triggers "Black Monday": Stocks and Crypto Plummet, Did Hayes's Prediction Come True?
Original Title: "Recession Panic Triggers 'Black Monday': Stocks and Coins Plunge, Hayes' Prediction Comes True?"
Original Author: Mary Liu, via BitpushNews
The bubble of "Buying Stocks and Relaxing" seems to be bursting.
Amid negative sentiments such as growing concerns about a U.S. economic recession, the U.S. stock market experienced a 'Black Monday' with the Dow falling 2% at the close of the day, the S&P 500 dropping 2.7%, and the Nasdaq plummeting 4%. Tesla (TSLA.O) crashed 15.4%, Apple (AAPL.O) fell nearly 5%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) dropped 5%.
In the crypto market, BTC fell below the $80,000 mark for the second time in three weeks, reaching a low of $77,400 in the past 24 hours, while ETH revisited around $1800, and the total crypto market cap dropped by nearly 4%.
Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of BitMEX and a well-known figure in the crypto space, seems to be witnessing his earlier prediction coming true. He had forecasted that Bitcoin might drop to $75,000, and as market sentiment worsens, this prediction is becoming increasingly credible.

In his latest tweet, Hayes reiterated that Bitcoin might further decline to $75,000 and warned, "If it enters this range, the market will experience severe volatility." He pointed out that the open interest near $75,000 has raised a 'red flag,' indicating an extremely pessimistic market sentiment.

Trump's Few Words Upend the Market, U.S. Economy Shadowed by Recession
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated in an interview with CNBC on Friday that as the new administration reduces government spending, the U.S. economy may go through a "detox period."
In a Fox News interview aired on Sunday, Trump also responded to the possibility of an economic recession, stating that the economy is in a "transition period."

Trump said: "I have to build a strong nation; you can't just focus on the stock market."
Goldman Sachs has significantly lowered its economic growth forecast recently due to the potential impact of tariffs, further intensifying the market's pessimism about the U.S. economic outlook. New York Fed data shows that the February one-year inflation expectation is at 3.13%, and the expectation for the financial situation to worsen over the next year is the strongest since November 2023.
CFRA Research Chief Investment Strategist Sam Stovall told CNBC: "We are in the midst of a man-made adjustment. I call it a man-made adjustment because it is really in response to the new government tariff plan or at least the tariff threat, and what impact that will have on the economy."
Institutional analysis suggests that if the economic recession fears triggered by the trade war materialize, the Federal Reserve may begin a series of rapid rate cuts in June. The futures market has bet on rate cuts of 25 basis points in June, July, and October.
SGH Macro Advisors Chief U.S. Economist Tim Duy warned that if there is a labor or financial market slump, the Fed will face a dual risk: to deal with inflation and withstand Trump's pressure for rate cuts. However, whether rate cuts can save market confidence remains unknown.
Analyst: Bitcoin Needs to Experience a "Mini Recession" Before Rebounding
Institutional investors are exiting the crypto market, with crypto investment products seeing net outflows for the fourth consecutive week. According to CoinShares' data, crypto funds saw $867 million in outflows last week, totaling $4.75 billion over four weeks. Most of the bearish sentiment is coming from the U.S., with U.S. investors withdrawing $922 million last week.
NFT marketplace Mintology CEO Zach Burks stated that due to inflation concerns and Bitcoin's waning appeal as a "Trump trade," Bitcoin could drop to $72,000. He noted: "Many investors are pulling out of Bitcoin, viewing it as a high-risk asset for the first time since Trump took office."
Burks believes that Bitcoin has failed to decouple from the U.S. stock market, losing its function as a store of value tool. Instead, investors are turning to traditional safe-haven assets like gold. He predicts that although Bitcoin may rebound to $110,000 this year, the market must first weather this "mini recession" caused by Trump's policies.
EY Economist Gregory Daco told CNN that the uncertainty and chaos of Trump's policies are not helping the overall economic situation. He said: "The current situation is one of policy ambiguity, policy intent ambiguity, and policy objective ambiguity, all of which combined make investors anxious because where the policy is ultimately going is still unclear."
So, in this environment, Don't Fight it, Float with It. In the face of the storm, true wisdom may not be to fight against the current but to choose to drift with it safely, building strength before the storm hits.
You may also like

Gold Plunges Over 4%, Silver Crashes 11%, Stock Market Plummet Triggers Precious Metals Algorithmic Selling Pressure?

Coinbase and Solana make successive moves, Agent economy to become the next big narrative

Aave DAO Wins, But the Game Is Not Over

Coinbase Earnings Call, Latest Developments in Aave Tokenomics Debate, What's Trending in the Global Crypto Community Today?

ICE, the parent company of the NYSE, Goes All In: Index Futures Contracts and Sentiment Prediction Market Tool

On-Chain Options: The Crossroads of DeFi Miners and Traders

How WEEX and LALIGA Redefine Elite Performance
WEEX x LALIGA partnership: Where trading discipline meets football excellence. Discover how WEEX, official regional partner in Hong Kong & Taiwan, brings crypto and sports fans together through shared values of strategy, control, and long-term performance.

Best Crypto to Buy Now February 10 – XRP, Solana, Dogecoin
Key Takeaways XRP is set to revolutionize cross-border transactions, potentially reaching $5 by the end of Q2 with…

Kyle Samani Criticizes Hyperliquid in Explosive Post-Departure Market Commentary
Key Takeaways: Kyle Samani, former co-founder of Multicoin Capital, publicly criticizes Hyperliquid, labeling it a systemic risk. Samani’s…

Leading AI Claude Forecasts the Price of XRP, Cardano, and Ethereum by the End of 2026
Key Takeaways: XRP’s value is projected to reach $8 by 2026 due to major institutional adoption. Cardano (ADA)…

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Alarming New Research Cautions Millions in BTC at Risk of ‘Quantum Freeze’ – Are You Ready?
Key Takeaways Quantum Threat to Bitcoin: The rise of quantum computing presents a unique security challenge to Bitcoin,…

XRP Price Prediction: Could XRP Ultimately Surpass Bitcoin and Ethereum?
Key Takeaways XRP has maintained a strong position despite a recent 12% drop, suggesting potential for growth. Analyst…

Best Crypto to Buy Now February 6 – XRP, Solana, Bitcoin
Key Takeaways The cryptocurrency market is experiencing pressure due to a technology-sector selloff, affecting digital assets like Bitcoin.…

South Korea Broadens Crypto Market Investigation Following Bithumb’s $44 Billion Bitcoin Error
Key Takeaways South Korea intensifies scrutiny on cryptocurrency exchange operations after Bithumb’s significant Bitcoin transaction error. Regulatory bodies,…

Tom Lee-Supported Bitmine Dominates 3.6% of Ethereum Supply Post-Price Crash
Key Takeaways Bitmine Immersion Technologies now controls 3.6% of Ethereum’s total supply after strategic purchases during market downturns.…

XRP Yearly Returns Hit Record Low Since 2023
Key Takeaways XRP’s yearly returns are at their lowest since 2023, as the crypto market grapples with a…

BTC Traders Eye $50K as Potential Bottom: Key Metrics to Monitor This Week
Key Takeaways Traders are closely monitoring the potential bottom for Bitcoin at $50,000 as recent price movements suggest…

Fraudulent ‘XRP’ Issued Token Sparks Confusion on the XRP Ledger
Key Takeaways An imposter XRP token is causing bewilderment within the XRP community by being superficially identical to…