Jim Bianco Discusses Fed Hike, Bond Market Signals and Bitcoin Adoption
The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates for the first time in over three years, with Jim Bianco of Bianco Research noting that the bond market had indicated this was necessary for two years. He highlights that during the Fed's cutting cycle, the ten-year yield increased from 3.7% to 5%, marking the first instance in over 50 years where long-term yields rose while the Fed cut rates. Bianco elaborates on what he needs to observe in the long end of the yield curve to determine if the Fed has regained credibility with bond investors. He emphasizes the significance of the October 28 decision, occurring just one week before the midterm elections, suggesting it holds more importance than Wall Street perceives. Bianco also addresses various topics including the debasement trade narrative, Bitcoin's requirements for growth, the role of Tether in Venezuela and Afghanistan, and the missed opportunities in the Bitcoin ETF buildout. He discusses the impact of stablecoins, the GENIUS Act, and real treasury demand, alongside the post-COVID economy and challenges to Fed Chair Jay Powell's policies.
-- Price
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